NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
900 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2003

.SHORT TERM...WILL ISSUE AN UPDATE THIS MORNING TO RENDER CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS. SHOWERS HAVE ENDED AND SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING. PICTURES FROM SPACE INDICATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WAS EAST OF THE AREA WITH LATEST SOUNDINGS NDICATING MODERATE TO STRONG NNWLY UPPER FLOW OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING. FOG OVER NRN SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY WILL MIX OUT THROUGH THE MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND A SHALLOW INVERSION. UPPER AND MID CLOUDS UPSTREAM WITHIN THE NNWLY FLOW WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY EXCEPT OVER THE MOUNTAINS WERE ISOLATED CU WILL DEVELOP WITHIN SHALLOW LAPSE RATES LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FORWOOD

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
300 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2003

.SHORT TERM...LATEST RADAR SHOWS LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS STARTING TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS MORNING...ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS TO SPREAD SOUTH INTO LAX COUNTY THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...WILL GO
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ALL AREAS TODAY...WITH EMPHASIS ON THE MORNING. AFTER SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH TODAY...UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA PEAKING IN STRENGTH ON TUESDAY. NEAR THE SURFACE...FLOW GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE OFFSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH THIS PATTERN...WILL EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AFTER TODAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...BUILDING UPPER RIDGE AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN WARMING TEMPS FOR THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. BEST WARMING WILL BE ALONG THE COAST ON TUESDAY DUE TO OFFSHORE GRADIENTS.

AS FOR WINDS...WILL EXPECT SOME LOCAL SUNDOWNER WINDS ACROSS SBA COUNTY TONIGHT AS FLOW TURNS NORTHERLY. FOR MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY... LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS NORTHEAST...SO WILL INDICATE SOME LOCAL NORTHEAST WINDS BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS. UPPER SUPPORT IS NOT GREAT...SO DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AT THIS TIME.