SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
 300 AM PST WED MAR 19 2003

 IN SHORT TERM...WINDS CONTINUE TO ABATE. SO...WILL LET THE WIND  ADVISORIES DIE WITH THE MORNING PACKAGE. OTHERWISE...TODAY SHOULD  BE BEAUTIFUL DAY AS UPPER RIDGE DRIFTS OVER THE AREA. WITH OFFSHORE  GRADIENTS AND WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER...TEMPS TODAY WILL BE SEVERAL  DEGREES WARMER THAN TUESDAY. FOR TONIGHT/THURSDAY...MODELS CONTINUE  TO ADVERTISE A VERY WEAK SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.  MODEL RH/OMEGA/POPS ARE VERY WEAK WITH ENERGY REMAINING TO THE NORTH  OF THE AREA. SO...WILL CONTINUE WITH ONLY LOW CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE  POPS FOR THE DISTRICT. WITH THIS SYSTEM...WILL EXPECT SEVERAL DEGREES  OF COOLING ON THURSDAY. ALSO...BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...NORTHWESTERLY   WINDS WILL PICK UP YET AGAIN...POSSIBLY REACHING ADVISORY LEVELS IN  SOME AREAS. ON FRIDAY...ANOTHER TRANSIENT UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVER THE  DISTRICT...WITH OFFSHORE GRADIENT TRENDS. SO...FRIDAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY  CLEAR WITH WARMER TEMPS.

230 PM PST WED MAR 19 2003

 IN SHORT TERM...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXIT CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AS A  TROUGH MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY  TONIGHT ALONG THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS TONIGHT, BUT WILL REMAIN BELOW  ADVISORY LEVEL. GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE OUTER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO  DIMINISH BELOW GALE STRENGTH TOMORROW, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR  FOR POTENTIAL EXTENSION OF THE GALE WARNING NEAR POINT CONCEPTION. THE  UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COMBINED WITH A SURFACE HIGH TO THE NORTH ON  THURSDAY WILL INCREASE THE NORTH WINDS, POTENTIALLY REACHING ADVISORY  CRITERIA THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND SANTA BARBARA SOUTH  COAST.